Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 0.002796 0.002925 0.003056 0.003200 0.003353 0.003512 0.003688
2025-04-20 0.002571 0.002765 0.002970 0.003203 0.003462 0.003742 0.004068
2025-04-27 0.002457 0.002693 0.002949 0.003249 0.003592 0.003974 0.004434
2025-05-04 0.002324 0.002585 0.002873 0.003218 0.003622 0.004083 0.004653
2025-05-11 0.002221 0.002501 0.002815 0.003199 0.003656 0.004191 0.004869
2025-05-18 0.002132 0.002425 0.002761 0.003177 0.003682 0.004284 0.005064
2025-05-25 0.002091 0.002404 0.002767 0.003224 0.003790 0.004476 0.005387
2025-06-01 0.002026 0.002350 0.002730 0.003214 0.003824 0.004577 0.005596
2025-06-08 0.001959 0.002290 0.002683 0.003190 0.003837 0.004648 0.005767
2025-06-15 0.001886 0.002220 0.002620 0.003142 0.003815 0.004673 0.005874
2025-06-22 0.001823 0.002159 0.002565 0.003101 0.003802 0.004705 0.005991
2025-06-29 0.001780 0.002122 0.002540 0.003096 0.003831 0.004794 0.006187
2025-07-06 0.001697 0.002033 0.002445 0.002999 0.003739 0.004717 0.006150
2025-07-13 0.001663 0.002005 0.002428 0.003003 0.003779 0.004820 0.006371
2025-07-20 0.001648 0.002000 0.002440 0.003045 0.003872 0.004998 0.006708
2025-07-27 0.001604 0.001957 0.002401 0.003016 0.003866 0.005038 0.006843
2025-08-03 0.001568 0.001922 0.002371 0.002998 0.003875 0.005096 0.007006
2025-08-10 0.001532 0.001886 0.002340 0.002978 0.003878 0.005147 0.007160
2025-08-17 0.001523 0.001886 0.002355 0.003021 0.003973 0.005333 0.007530
2025-08-24 0.001494 0.001860 0.002334 0.003013 0.003991 0.005407 0.007727
2025-08-31 0.001462 0.001827 0.002303 0.002990 0.003989 0.005449 0.007874
2025-09-07 0.001423 0.001784 0.002258 0.002946 0.003953 0.005438 0.007933
2025-09-14 0.001388 0.001747 0.002219 0.002909 0.003927 0.005441 0.008013